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Red312
556779.8
3620105.0
276793.8
Blue215
553550.9
561052.0
368897.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3021940100400500312215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.00.9
102.6103.5
Auto14.5
Teleop56.0
End34.5
red by 7.9
3688
#17
97.10.4
96.797.1
Auto9.3
Teleop38.3
End49.5
Second
93.80.9
91.592.4
Auto7.3
Teleop41.0
End45.6
red by 41.8
5610
#15
52.00.4
51.652.0
Auto6.4
Teleop28.8
End16.8
Third
5567
#20
79.80.9
77.478.3
Auto12.8
Teleop32.4
End34.5
red by 28.9
5535
#16
50.90.4
50.550.9
Auto3.9
Teleop26.3
End20.7