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Red354
556779.8
3620105.0
276793.8
Blue294
191899.5
546279.1
345278.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297262100150200350400450500354294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.00.5
104.5104.0
Auto14.5
Teleop56.0
End34.5
red by 5.5
99.50.9
98.699.5
Auto11.9
Teleop47.5
End40.1
Second
93.80.5
93.392.8
Auto7.3
Teleop41.0
End45.6
red by 14.7
79.11.0
78.179.1
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End37.8
Third
5567
#20
79.80.5
79.378.8
Auto12.8
Teleop32.4
End34.5
red by 1.8
3452
#32
78.01.0
77.078.0
Auto5.3
Teleop40.1
End32.5