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Red315
440966.3
8588.7
354696.8
Blue145
519463.6
194060.7
515279.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602130100300400500315145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.81.4
92.894.2
Auto13.5
Teleop49.4
End33.8
red by 16.9
5152
#19
79.81.4
81.379.8
Auto5.9
Teleop36.3
End37.6
Second
85
#2
88.71.4
84.786.2
Auto8.0
Teleop39.0
End41.7
red by 25.2
5194
#22
63.61.4
65.063.6
Auto8.2
Teleop34.0
End21.4
Third
4409
#21
66.31.4
62.363.8
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End31.2
red by 5.6
1940
#13
60.71.4
62.160.7
Auto2.2
Teleop33.6
End24.9