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Red280
423787.4
432590.2
247489.8
Blue226
661557.4
517367.7
496771.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2941830100400500600280226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.20.2
89.188.9
Auto8.7
Teleop33.7
End47.7
red by 18.7
4967
#23
71.50.7
69.169.8
Auto14.7
Teleop42.6
End14.1
Second
89.80.2
88.588.3
Auto9.8
Teleop49.9
End30.1
red by 22.1
5173
#10
67.70.8
65.165.9
Auto7.5
Teleop27.1
End33.0
Third
4237
#18
87.40.2
86.286.0
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End38.6
red by 29.9
6615
#12
57.40.7
55.155.8
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End29.2