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Red291
296097.7
33131.0
57359.2
Blue305
468079.8
148191.4
546753.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315215100400500291305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
131.00.1
130.1130.2
Auto13.8
Teleop57.9
End59.2
red by 39.5
91.41.9
89.291.2
Auto11.5
Teleop41.0
End39.0
Second
2960
#10
97.70.1
96.896.9
Auto9.7
Teleop37.0
End51.0
red by 17.9
4680
#25
79.81.9
77.679.6
Auto5.3
Teleop35.5
End38.9
Third
573
#35
59.20.1
58.358.4
Auto7.6
Teleop28.1
End23.4
red by 6.1
5467
#37
53.01.9
50.852.8
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End8.4