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Red325
296097.7
33131.0
57359.2
Blue235
468079.8
148191.4
546753.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142220100400500325235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
131.00.8
130.2131.0
Auto13.8
Teleop57.9
End59.2
red by 39.5
91.40.3
91.291.4
Auto11.5
Teleop41.0
End39.0
Second
2960
#10
97.70.8
96.997.7
Auto9.7
Teleop37.0
End51.0
red by 17.9
4680
#25
79.80.3
79.679.8
Auto5.3
Teleop35.5
End38.9
Third
573
#35
59.20.8
58.459.2
Auto7.6
Teleop28.1
End23.4
red by 6.1
5467
#37
53.00.3
52.853.0
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End8.4