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Red215
118854.8
54877.9
6782.8
Blue185
10754.1
353889.5
125061.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22721650100150250300350400215185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#8
82.80.0
82.282.2
Auto6.3
Teleop39.4
End37.1
blue by 6.7
89.50.5
90.089.5
Auto8.1
Teleop38.4
End43.0
Second
548
#4
77.90.0
77.477.4
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End35.3
red by 16.5
1250
#26
61.40.5
61.961.4
Auto6.0
Teleop31.9
End23.5
Third
1188
#15
54.80.0
54.354.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.6
End21.8
red by 0.7
107
#34
54.10.5
54.654.1
Auto7.0
Teleop32.9
End14.2