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Red245
102575.2
170165.8
575663.2
Blue255
468079.8
148191.4
546753.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211221100300400500245255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#11
75.21.0
74.275.2
Auto15.0
Teleop37.6
End22.6
blue by 16.3
91.41.0
86.187.1
Auto11.5
Teleop41.0
End39.0
Second
65.81.0
64.865.8
Auto5.9
Teleop23.1
End36.9
blue by 14.0
4680
#25
79.81.0
74.575.5
Auto5.3
Teleop35.5
End38.9
Third
5756
#28
63.21.0
62.363.2
Auto1.4
Teleop30.0
End31.9
red by 10.2
5467
#37
53.01.0
47.748.8
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End8.4