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Red167
575663.2
170165.8
102575.2
Blue165
619374.2
613640.7
213776.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2151940100300400500600167165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#11
75.20.8
74.173.3
Auto15.0
Teleop37.6
End22.6
blue by 0.9
2137
#18
76.00.5
74.874.3
Auto10.9
Teleop38.1
End27.0
Second
65.80.8
64.764.0
Auto5.9
Teleop23.1
End36.9
blue by 8.4
6193
#12
74.20.5
73.072.5
Auto5.7
Teleop37.1
End31.3
Third
5756
#28
63.20.8
62.261.4
Auto1.4
Teleop30.0
End31.9
red by 22.6
40.70.5
39.539.0
Auto5.5
Teleop24.0
End11.1