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Red255
575663.2
170165.8
102575.2
Blue260
619374.2
613640.7
213776.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121930100300400500255260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#11
75.21.3
73.374.6
Auto15.0
Teleop37.6
End22.6
blue by 0.9
2137
#18
76.01.1
74.375.4
Auto10.9
Teleop38.1
End27.0
Second
65.81.3
64.065.2
Auto5.9
Teleop23.1
End36.9
blue by 8.4
6193
#12
74.21.1
72.573.6
Auto5.7
Teleop37.1
End31.3
Third
5756
#28
63.21.3
61.462.7
Auto1.4
Teleop30.0
End31.9
red by 22.6
40.71.1
39.040.1
Auto5.5
Teleop24.0
End11.1