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Red235
481579.1
330286.2
481093.2
Blue316
496191.9
2960112.3
609971.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2673080100200400500600235316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#11
93.20.5
93.192.6
Auto7.1
Teleop49.5
End36.5
blue by 19.1
112.30.6
115.9115.4
Auto11.5
Teleop52.1
End48.7
Second
86.20.5
86.185.6
Auto6.5
Teleop40.0
End39.7
blue by 5.7
4961
#16
91.90.6
95.695.0
Auto13.3
Teleop49.2
End29.4
Third
4815
#14
79.10.5
79.078.5
Auto6.5
Teleop34.6
End37.9
red by 8.0
6099
#12
71.00.6
74.774.2
Auto9.9
Teleop30.4
End30.7