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Red298
504881.6
309893.5
2337103.7
Blue255
496191.9
2960112.3
609971.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311289100200400500298255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.70.3
108.0107.7
Auto18.1
Teleop46.7
End38.9
blue by 8.6
112.30.5
112.7112.3
Auto11.5
Teleop52.1
End48.7
Second
93.50.3
97.997.6
Auto12.4
Teleop51.7
End29.5
red by 1.6
4961
#16
91.90.5
92.491.9
Auto13.3
Teleop49.2
End29.4
Third
5048
#22
81.60.3
86.085.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End41.5
red by 10.6
6099
#12
71.00.5
71.571.0
Auto9.9
Teleop30.4
End30.7