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Red275
504881.6
309893.5
2337103.7
Blue261
57384.3
5436112.4
28085.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301303240260280320340360380275261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.70.3
107.0106.7
Auto18.1
Teleop46.7
End38.9
blue by 8.7
112.40.5
112.9112.4
Auto17.3
Teleop50.1
End45.0
Second
93.50.3
96.996.6
Auto12.4
Teleop51.7
End29.5
red by 8.5
280
#15
85.00.5
85.585.0
Auto9.2
Teleop36.3
End39.5
Third
5048
#22
81.60.3
84.984.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End41.5
blue by 2.7
573
#19
84.30.5
84.884.3
Auto7.1
Teleop35.4
End41.8