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Red367
504881.6
309893.5
2337103.7
Blue257
496191.9
2960112.3
609971.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062910100200400500600367257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.71.3
106.7108.0
Auto18.1
Teleop46.7
End38.9
blue by 8.6
112.30.5
113.2112.7
Auto11.5
Teleop52.1
End48.7
Second
93.51.3
96.697.9
Auto12.4
Teleop51.7
End29.5
red by 1.6
4961
#16
91.90.5
92.892.4
Auto13.3
Teleop49.2
End29.4
Third
5048
#22
81.61.3
84.686.0
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End41.5
red by 10.6
6099
#12
71.00.5
72.071.5
Auto9.9
Teleop30.4
End30.7