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Red256
481579.1
330286.2
481093.2
Blue262
496191.9
2960112.3
609971.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692990100200400500600256262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#11
93.20.1
93.293.2
Auto7.1
Teleop49.5
End36.5
blue by 19.1
112.30.4
113.6113.2
Auto11.5
Teleop52.1
End48.7
Second
86.20.1
86.286.2
Auto6.5
Teleop40.0
End39.7
blue by 5.7
4961
#16
91.90.4
93.292.8
Auto13.3
Teleop49.2
End29.4
Third
4815
#14
79.10.1
79.179.1
Auto6.5
Teleop34.6
End37.9
red by 8.0
6099
#12
71.00.4
72.472.0
Auto9.9
Teleop30.4
End30.7