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Red280
481147.1
469119.1
3539100.2
Blue339
546092.8
91094.8
81887.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28126805001,0001,5002,000280339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#2
119.10.2
118.3118.1
Auto12.9
Teleop53.4
End52.8
red by 24.2
910
#8
94.81.3
88.689.8
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End44.3
Second
3539
#10
100.20.2
99.599.3
Auto12.4
Teleop48.5
End39.3
red by 7.4
5460
#32
92.81.3
86.587.8
Auto13.3
Teleop50.8
End28.7
Third
4811
#29
47.10.2
46.446.2
Auto9.7
Teleop27.4
End10.0
blue by 40.2
818
#24
87.31.3
81.082.3
Auto7.4
Teleop36.5
End43.4