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Red257
607594.5
609768.3
1711112.3
Blue208
5110100.1
552576.2
508693.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300287200250350400257208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#10
112.30.6
114.9114.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.1
End58.0
red by 12.2
5110
#11
100.11.5
101.6100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop43.3
End42.4
Second
6075
#18
94.50.6
97.196.5
Auto14.6
Teleop45.5
End34.5
red by 1.1
5086
#14
93.41.5
94.893.4
Auto10.1
Teleop41.5
End41.8
Third
68.30.6
70.870.3
Auto5.1
Teleop35.3
End27.9
blue by 7.9
76.21.5
77.776.2
Auto6.2
Teleop36.0
End34.0