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Red145
612180.5
353792.1
523087.1
Blue445
550586.2
4391109.5
439880.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29326402004006008001,0001,200145445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.12.9
96.793.8
Auto6.9
Teleop38.3
End46.9
blue by 17.4
109.52.0
102.3104.3
Auto14.5
Teleop50.7
End44.3
Second
87.12.9
91.788.9
Auto6.7
Teleop43.9
End36.5
red by 0.9
5505
#19
86.22.0
79.081.0
Auto8.0
Teleop47.6
End30.5
Third
6121
#24
80.52.9
85.182.2
Auto11.0
Teleop35.6
End33.8
Level
4398
#23
80.52.0
73.375.3
Auto7.4
Teleop41.4
End31.6