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Red185
612180.5
353792.1
523087.1
Blue446
550586.2
4391109.5
439880.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276278200250300350400185446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.11.8
93.892.1
Auto6.9
Teleop38.3
End46.9
blue by 17.4
109.51.8
104.3106.1
Auto14.5
Teleop50.7
End44.3
Second
87.11.8
88.987.1
Auto6.7
Teleop43.9
End36.5
red by 0.9
5505
#19
86.21.8
81.082.8
Auto8.0
Teleop47.6
End30.5
Third
6121
#24
80.51.8
82.280.5
Auto11.0
Teleop35.6
End33.8
Level
4398
#23
80.51.8
75.377.1
Auto7.4
Teleop41.4
End31.6