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Red250
612180.5
353792.1
523087.1
Blue305
553488.5
437678.7
498385.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292258100200400500250305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.10.5
96.195.7
Auto6.9
Teleop38.3
End46.9
red by 3.6
5534
#35
88.51.2
87.288.4
Auto8.6
Teleop47.0
End32.9
Second
87.10.5
91.290.7
Auto6.7
Teleop43.9
End36.5
red by 1.4
4983
#30
85.71.2
84.485.6
Auto12.3
Teleop39.6
End33.8
Third
6121
#24
80.50.5
84.584.1
Auto11.0
Teleop35.6
End33.8
red by 1.8
78.71.2
77.478.6
Auto9.8
Teleop35.0
End33.8