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Red330
612180.5
353792.1
523087.1
Blue255
553488.5
437678.7
498385.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289263100200400500600330255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.10.8
95.796.4
Auto6.9
Teleop38.3
End46.9
red by 3.6
5534
#35
88.50.1
88.488.5
Auto8.6
Teleop47.0
End32.9
Second
87.10.8
90.791.5
Auto6.7
Teleop43.9
End36.5
red by 1.4
4983
#30
85.70.1
85.685.7
Auto12.3
Teleop39.6
End33.8
Third
6121
#24
80.50.8
84.184.8
Auto11.0
Teleop35.6
End33.8
red by 1.8
78.70.1
78.678.7
Auto9.8
Teleop35.0
End33.8