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Red350
439880.5
4391109.5
550586.2
Blue210
608792.3
607450.7
376781.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270238100200300400500350210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.50.2
101.5101.3
Auto14.5
Teleop50.7
End44.3
red by 17.2
6087
#12
92.30.6
94.393.7
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End42.1
Second
5505
#19
86.20.2
78.178.0
Auto8.0
Teleop47.6
End30.5
red by 5.0
3767
#26
81.10.6
83.182.5
Auto8.9
Teleop37.0
End35.2
Third
4398
#23
80.50.2
72.472.3
Auto7.4
Teleop41.4
End31.6
red by 29.7
50.70.6
52.752.1
Auto3.5
Teleop25.0
End22.1