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Red396
439880.5
4391109.5
550586.2
Blue165
608792.3
607450.7
376781.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270236100150200300350400450500396165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.51.0
101.3102.3
Auto14.5
Teleop50.7
End44.3
red by 17.2
6087
#12
92.31.4
93.792.3
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End42.1
Second
5505
#19
86.21.0
78.079.0
Auto8.0
Teleop47.6
End30.5
red by 5.0
3767
#26
81.11.4
82.581.1
Auto8.9
Teleop37.0
End35.2
Third
4398
#23
80.51.0
72.373.3
Auto7.4
Teleop41.4
End31.6
red by 29.7
50.71.4
52.150.7
Auto3.5
Teleop25.0
End22.1