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Red275
564159.1
353987.1
4961100.7
Blue259
170178.2
5155100.0
485188.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256280100150200300350400450275259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.70.1
100.2100.3
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End35.3
red by 0.7
5155
#10
100.00.1
98.398.2
Auto12.2
Teleop51.7
End36.1
Second
87.10.1
86.686.7
Auto11.8
Teleop40.2
End35.2
blue by 1.2
4851
#15
88.30.1
86.886.7
Auto10.8
Teleop33.2
End44.3
Third
5641
#32
59.10.1
58.658.7
Auto3.9
Teleop32.8
End22.4
blue by 19.1
1701
#18
78.20.1
76.776.6
Auto7.8
Teleop30.3
End40.1