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Red313
485188.3
5155100.0
170178.2
Blue339
2791.3
2137118.7
477969.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276286200250300350400313339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#10
100.01.2
98.8100.0
Auto12.2
Teleop51.7
End36.1
blue by 18.7
118.71.0
115.8116.8
Auto19.1
Teleop46.2
End53.4
Second
4851
#15
88.31.1
87.288.3
Auto10.8
Teleop33.2
End44.3
blue by 2.9
27
#19
91.31.0
88.489.4
Auto10.6
Teleop49.5
End31.1
Third
1701
#18
78.21.1
77.178.2
Auto7.8
Teleop30.3
End40.1
red by 9.1
4779
#31
69.11.0
66.367.3
Auto10.9
Teleop40.2
End18.1