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Red321
240567.2
2054101.2
1918105.1
Blue370
10770.6
5927101.9
400485.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300273100200400500321370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#10
105.11.3
107.5106.2
Auto9.2
Teleop50.5
End45.4
red by 3.2
101.90.2
103.3103.4
Auto5.3
Teleop46.1
End50.5
Second
101.21.3
103.6102.3
Auto10.3
Teleop51.4
End39.5
red by 15.7
4004
#21
85.50.2
86.987.1
Auto8.2
Teleop43.9
End33.4
Third
2405
#28
67.21.3
69.568.2
Auto9.9
Teleop39.1
End18.2
blue by 3.5
107
#19
70.60.2
72.072.2
Auto12.6
Teleop42.0
End16.0