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Red401
531678.9
3620104.6
4003108.0
Blue205
10770.6
5927101.9
400485.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313270100200400500401205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.00.2
107.8108.0
Auto15.7
Teleop40.7
End51.5
red by 6.1
101.91.3
103.2101.9
Auto5.3
Teleop46.1
End50.5
Second
104.60.2
104.4104.6
Auto13.3
Teleop55.1
End36.2
red by 19.0
4004
#21
85.51.3
86.885.5
Auto8.2
Teleop43.9
End33.4
Third
5316
#23
78.90.2
78.778.9
Auto8.0
Teleop39.6
End31.3
red by 8.2
107
#19
70.61.3
71.970.6
Auto12.6
Teleop42.0
End16.0