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Red452
181689.1
5172127.7
2169117.4
Blue449
2512116.1
3130116.4
288398.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394392320340360380420440460452449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.70.3
129.9130.1
Auto17.4
Teleop60.0
End50.3
red by 11.3
116.40.4
116.0116.4
Auto10.8
Teleop54.1
End51.5
Second
117.40.3
119.5119.8
Auto9.7
Teleop57.3
End50.3
red by 1.2
2512
#10
116.10.4
115.8116.2
Auto14.7
Teleop51.1
End50.4
Third
1816
#33
89.10.3
91.391.5
Auto8.7
Teleop43.1
End37.3
blue by 9.2
2883
#14
98.40.4
98.098.4
Auto12.1
Teleop50.2
End36.0