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Quarterfinal 4-12017 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red310
4536117.8
5913107.8
4539101.2
Blue330
2512116.1
3130116.4
288398.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34740602006008001,000310330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#21
117.80.4
118.2→117.8
Auto11.8
Teleop52.3
End53.7
red by 1.4
3130
#4
116.40.6
116.6→116.0
Auto10.8
Teleop54.1
End51.5
Second
5913
#2
107.80.4
108.2→107.8
Auto13.8
Teleop44.1
End50.0
blue by 8.3
2512
#10
116.10.6
116.4→115.8
Auto14.7
Teleop51.1
End50.4
Third
4539
#7
101.20.4
101.6→101.2
Auto7.0
Teleop47.5
End46.6
red by 2.8
2883
#14
98.40.6
98.6→98.0
Auto12.1
Teleop50.2
End36.0