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Quarterfinal 4-22017 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red404
181689.1
5172127.7
2169117.4
Blue445
2512116.1
3130116.4
288398.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38939902006008001,0001,2001,400404445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
127.70.8
130.1→129.3
Auto17.4
Teleop60.0
End50.3
red by 11.3
3130
#4
116.40.3
116.4→116.8
Auto10.8
Teleop54.1
End51.5
Second
2169
#3
117.40.8
119.8→119.0
Auto9.7
Teleop57.3
End50.3
red by 1.2
2512
#10
116.10.3
116.2→116.5
Auto14.7
Teleop51.1
End50.4
Third
1816
#33
89.10.8
91.5→90.7
Auto8.7
Teleop43.1
End37.3
blue by 9.2
2883
#14
98.40.3
98.4→98.7
Auto12.1
Teleop50.2
End36.0