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Red251
5172127.7
460769.9
252669.8
Blue250
3293112.0
675888.4
670971.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272277240260300320340251250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.70.5
123.9123.4
Auto17.4
Teleop60.0
End50.3
red by 15.7
112.00.8
105.3104.5
Auto10.5
Teleop43.8
End57.7
Second
4607
#26
69.90.5
61.060.4
Auto7.4
Teleop33.5
End29.0
blue by 18.6
6758
#15
88.40.8
81.780.9
Auto6.3
Teleop53.6
End28.5
Third
2526
#32
69.80.5
74.373.8
Auto6.9
Teleop33.6
End29.2
blue by 1.6
6709
#16
71.31.1
75.274.1
Auto9.3
Teleop29.1
End32.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed