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Red250
3130116.4
563887.5
318495.5
Blue265
288398.4
4539101.2
485995.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32129902004006008001,0001,200250265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.45.2
117.8112.6
Auto10.8
Teleop54.1
End51.5
red by 15.2
101.21.5
90.589.0
Auto7.0
Teleop47.5
End46.6
Second
3184
#20
95.55.2
93.388.2
Auto10.7
Teleop49.4
End35.4
blue by 2.9
2883
#14
98.41.5
97.696.2
Auto12.1
Teleop50.2
End36.0
Third
87.57.4
91.183.7
Auto9.0
Teleop49.4
End29.1
blue by 8.0
4859
#24
95.51.5
98.897.3
Auto9.0
Teleop40.8
End45.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsEarned3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed