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Red255
675859.1
298799.7
52598.3
Blue355
517295.1
288381.9
217558.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266264200250300350255355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.70.1
97.998.0
Auto7.1
Teleop36.8
End55.9
red by 4.6
5172
#12
95.11.7
100.6102.3
Auto11.3
Teleop40.4
End43.5
Second
525
#2
98.30.1
96.596.6
Auto10.5
Teleop45.3
End42.4
red by 16.4
2883
#10
81.91.7
87.389.0
Auto8.5
Teleop41.7
End31.7
Third
6758
#19
59.10.1
57.357.4
Auto7.2
Teleop27.8
End24.1
red by 0.8
2175
#39
58.31.7
63.765.4
Auto7.0
Teleop37.0
End14.4