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Red155
517295.1
288381.9
217558.3
Blue425
87685.1
2512105.3
2769.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272270200250300350400155425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
95.13.3
102.699.3
Auto11.3
Teleop40.4
End43.5
blue by 10.1
105.32.2
104.2106.4
Auto12.4
Teleop48.0
End44.9
Second
2883
#10
81.93.3
89.386.0
Auto8.5
Teleop41.7
End31.7
blue by 3.2
876
#41
85.12.2
84.086.2
Auto5.4
Teleop38.7
End41.0
Third
2175
#39
58.33.3
65.762.4
Auto7.0
Teleop37.0
End14.4
blue by 10.9
27
#34
69.22.2
68.170.3
Auto5.8
Teleop37.8
End25.6