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Red305
675859.1
298799.7
52598.3
Blue316
517295.1
288381.9
217558.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264272100200300400500305316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.71.7
98.099.7
Auto7.1
Teleop36.8
End55.9
red by 4.6
5172
#12
95.10.3
102.3102.6
Auto11.3
Teleop40.4
End43.5
Second
525
#2
98.31.7
96.698.3
Auto10.5
Teleop45.3
End42.4
red by 16.4
2883
#10
81.90.3
89.089.3
Auto8.5
Teleop41.7
End31.7
Third
6758
#19
59.11.7
57.459.1
Auto7.2
Teleop27.8
End24.1
red by 0.8
2175
#39
58.30.3
65.465.7
Auto7.0
Teleop37.0
End14.4