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Red149
517295.1
288381.9
217558.3
Blue290
87685.1
2512105.3
2769.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2582810100200400500149290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
95.14.1
99.395.1
Auto11.3
Teleop40.4
End43.5
blue by 10.1
105.30.7
106.4107.1
Auto12.4
Teleop48.0
End44.9
Second
2883
#10
81.94.1
86.081.9
Auto8.5
Teleop41.7
End31.7
blue by 3.2
876
#41
85.10.7
86.286.9
Auto5.4
Teleop38.7
End41.0
Third
2175
#39
58.34.1
62.458.3
Auto7.0
Teleop37.0
End14.4
blue by 10.9
27
#34
69.20.7
70.371.0
Auto5.8
Teleop37.8
End25.6