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Red235
448068.3
439783.5
384075.3
Blue273
631886.9
472873.0
591394.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234264100200300400500235273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.50.3
83.283.5
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End45.7
blue by 10.7
5913
#33
94.10.9
91.592.3
Auto7.6
Teleop34.1
End52.4
Second
3840
#38
75.30.3
75.075.3
Auto7.8
Teleop35.9
End31.6
blue by 11.7
6318
#21
86.90.9
84.385.1
Auto9.5
Teleop48.0
End29.3
Third
4480
#17
68.30.3
68.168.3
Auto7.8
Teleop39.7
End20.9
blue by 4.6
73.00.9
70.371.2
Auto10.5
Teleop32.1
End30.3