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Red425
375588.4
329392.4
569077.1
Blue218
252669.5
3277100.4
374072.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283261100200400500425218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.41.9
95.797.6
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End42.6
blue by 8.0
100.41.1
103.0102.0
Auto11.3
Teleop37.6
End51.6
Second
3755
#20
88.41.9
89.491.3
Auto10.6
Teleop37.5
End40.4
red by 15.5
3740
#32
72.91.1
75.874.6
Auto12.6
Teleop30.3
End30.1
Third
5690
#52
77.11.9
80.482.3
Auto8.0
Teleop39.5
End29.7
red by 7.6
69.51.1
72.271.1
Auto5.1
Teleop36.4
End28.0