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Red450
249186.9
388396.3
4536105.4
Blue150
181681.6
460783.0
423961.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232300100200400500450150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.40.3
106.0105.7
Auto8.0
Teleop46.6
End50.7
red by 22.4
83.01.7
84.783.0
Auto6.6
Teleop39.1
End37.2
Second
96.30.3
97.096.7
Auto10.9
Teleop40.3
End45.1
red by 14.8
81.61.7
81.579.7
Auto3.6
Teleop40.7
End37.2
Third
86.90.3
87.687.3
Auto8.4
Teleop44.5
End34.0
red by 25.3
4239
#17
61.61.7
61.559.8
Auto13.9
Teleop30.1
End17.6