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Red445
249186.9
388396.3
4536105.4
Blue402
181681.6
302677.0
423961.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242130100400500445402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.41.2
105.7106.9
Auto8.0
Teleop46.6
End50.7
red by 23.8
81.61.8
79.781.6
Auto3.6
Teleop40.7
End37.2
Second
96.31.2
96.797.9
Auto10.9
Teleop40.3
End45.1
red by 19.4
3026
#11
77.01.8
75.177.0
Auto7.9
Teleop40.7
End28.3
Third
86.91.2
87.388.5
Auto8.4
Teleop44.5
End34.0
red by 25.3
4239
#17
61.61.8
59.861.6
Auto13.9
Teleop30.1
End17.6