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Red445
485988.9
284691.9
324499.2
Blue285
313090.4
419890.9
304274.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299280100150200250350400450445285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.21.5
98.299.7
Auto11.2
Teleop50.8
End37.2
red by 8.3
90.90.7
90.290.9
Auto6.5
Teleop45.4
End39.0
Second
91.91.5
90.992.4
Auto10.7
Teleop45.6
End35.6
red by 1.4
3130
#10
90.40.7
89.790.4
Auto5.1
Teleop43.5
End41.8
Third
88.91.5
87.989.4
Auto11.5
Teleop38.0
End39.4
red by 14.0
3042
#18
74.90.7
74.274.9
Auto4.1
Teleop36.8
End33.9