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Red280
217571.1
3130105.9
250081.2
Blue205
656978.7
460783.7
569087.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284284220240260300320280205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.92.0
107.1105.0
Auto8.8
Teleop47.8
End49.3
red by 18.9
87.01.2
89.788.5
Auto11.5
Teleop42.9
End32.5
Second
81.22.0
82.480.4
Auto6.9
Teleop40.0
End34.3
blue by 2.5
83.71.2
86.485.2
Auto6.5
Teleop38.0
End39.3
Third
2175
#10
71.12.0
72.370.3
Auto6.8
Teleop41.5
End22.8
blue by 7.5
78.71.2
81.380.2
Auto9.2
Teleop39.3
End30.1