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Red255
217571.1
3130105.9
250081.2
Blue306
284676.7
324483.8
251295.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282269100200400500255306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.90.1
105.9105.9
Auto8.8
Teleop47.8
End49.3
red by 10.3
2512
#19
95.51.2
94.495.5
Auto10.0
Teleop41.4
End44.1
Second
81.20.1
81.381.2
Auto6.9
Teleop40.0
End34.3
blue by 2.6
83.81.2
82.683.8
Auto9.7
Teleop46.9
End27.2
Third
2175
#10
71.10.1
71.271.1
Auto6.8
Teleop41.5
End22.8
blue by 5.6
2846
#15
76.71.2
75.576.7
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End27.9