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Red220
466384.6
304299.3
217565.1
Blue335
388390.0
1806110.0
222785.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2642940100200400500600700220335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.31.3
100.999.6
Auto6.8
Teleop41.4
End51.1
blue by 10.8
110.00.8
106.6107.4
Auto17.2
Teleop46.1
End46.7
Second
4663
#28
84.61.9
87.085.1
Auto7.8
Teleop31.5
End45.4
blue by 5.4
3883
#14
90.00.8
86.687.4
Auto15.3
Teleop39.9
End34.8
Third
2175
#36
65.11.3
66.765.3
Auto9.0
Teleop41.9
End14.2
blue by 20.0
2227
#49
85.00.8
81.682.3
Auto8.0
Teleop36.5
End40.5