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Red341
247275.6
3928112.5
288397.6
Blue235
249194.4
546485.4
257493.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012950100200400500600700341235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.7
112.2112.9
Auto11.0
Teleop46.9
End54.7
red by 18.1
2491
#13
94.41.0
97.096.0
Auto10.0
Teleop44.2
End40.2
Second
97.60.7
97.398.0
Auto11.0
Teleop49.6
End37.0
red by 4.3
2574
#24
93.31.0
95.994.9
Auto7.5
Teleop48.0
End37.8
Third
2472
#12
75.60.7
75.275.9
Auto8.3
Teleop35.1
End32.2
blue by 9.8
85.41.0
88.087.0
Auto7.2
Teleop39.3
End38.9