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Red451
247275.6
3928112.5
288397.6
Blue235
319790.7
250187.9
320688.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294280150200250350400450451235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.51.5
109.6111.2
Auto11.0
Teleop46.9
End54.7
red by 21.8
3197
#26
90.70.8
90.789.8
Auto12.2
Teleop37.9
End40.5
Second
97.61.5
94.796.3
Auto11.0
Teleop49.6
End37.0
red by 9.1
3206
#17
88.50.8
88.587.6
Auto8.8
Teleop42.1
End37.6
Third
2472
#12
75.61.5
72.774.2
Auto8.3
Teleop35.1
End32.2
blue by 12.3
87.90.8
87.987.1
Auto14.7
Teleop37.6
End35.6