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Red277
247275.6
3928112.5
288397.6
Blue405
249194.4
546485.4
257493.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042910100200400500600277405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.3
112.9112.5
Auto11.0
Teleop46.9
End54.7
red by 18.1
2491
#13
94.40.1
96.095.9
Auto10.0
Teleop44.2
End40.2
Second
97.60.3
98.097.6
Auto11.0
Teleop49.6
End37.0
red by 4.3
2574
#24
93.30.1
94.994.8
Auto7.5
Teleop48.0
End37.8
Third
2472
#12
75.60.3
75.975.6
Auto8.3
Teleop35.1
End32.2
blue by 9.8
85.40.1
87.086.9
Auto7.2
Teleop39.3
End38.9