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Red235
218180.6
419899.2
329982.6
Blue262
250998.7
5172115.7
420789.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743320100200400500600235262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.21.3
100.599.2
Auto7.1
Teleop40.1
End52.0
blue by 16.5
115.71.0
116.8115.7
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End50.1
Second
3299
#25
82.61.8
84.582.6
Auto9.2
Teleop37.0
End36.4
blue by 16.0
2509
#16
98.71.0
99.798.7
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End47.7
Third
2181
#21
80.62.0
82.680.6
Auto7.2
Teleop40.4
End32.9
blue by 9.1
4207
#39
89.71.5
91.289.7
Auto12.4
Teleop39.0
End38.2