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Red300
218180.6
419899.2
329982.6
Blue312
250998.7
5172115.7
420789.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703330100200400500600700300312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.20.8
99.7100.5
Auto7.1
Teleop40.1
End52.0
blue by 16.5
115.70.1
116.7116.8
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End50.1
Second
3299
#25
82.61.1
83.384.5
Auto9.2
Teleop37.0
End36.4
blue by 16.0
2509
#16
98.70.1
99.699.7
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End47.7
Third
2181
#21
80.61.2
81.382.6
Auto7.2
Teleop40.4
End32.9
blue by 9.1
4207
#39
89.70.2
91.091.2
Auto12.4
Teleop39.0
End38.2