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Red445
287985.1
4536116.0
363078.4
Blue307
284685.7
543493.0
642470.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082510100200400500600445307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.01.4
117.1118.5
Auto15.1
Teleop50.7
End50.1
red by 23.0
93.01.4
91.693.0
Auto11.1
Teleop35.1
End46.8
Second
2879
#17
85.12.0
86.788.7
Auto9.2
Teleop41.0
End34.9
blue by 0.6
2846
#15
85.71.4
84.485.7
Auto8.5
Teleop45.6
End31.6
Third
3630
#11
78.42.1
80.282.3
Auto3.5
Teleop43.4
End31.5
red by 7.7
6424
#28
70.71.4
69.370.7
Auto7.9
Teleop33.2
End29.6